Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Smedby
Forward
Smedby
D
W
D
W
L
L
Forward
L
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Smedby and Forward have often ended in draws and produced plenty of goals. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply for a home victory. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 57% chance that more than one goal will be scored, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring games between these sides despite Forward having a modest quality edge and stronger recent form.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | Smedby | 0 - 2 | April 12, 2026 |
| Forward | Smedby | 3 - 3 | June 25, 2025 |
| Smedby | Forward | 3 - 3 | April 5, 2025 |
Smedby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Syrianska FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Karlslund | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Örebro Syrianska | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Sylvia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Haninge | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Forward Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Nacka Iliria | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Syrianska FC | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Örebro Syrianska | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Nyköping | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Rågsved | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Fittja | 3 - 1 | Win |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 20 | +16 | 36 |
| 6 | Smedby | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 24 | +11 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.31% likelihood that both Smedby and Forward will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Smedby to win
This prediction indicates that Smedby has a 44.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments