Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Farsta
Nacka Iliria
Farsta
W
W
D
D
W
L
Nacka Iliria
W
W
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Farsta with a 54% probability. Despite Farsta having a clear quality gap in their favor and both teams showing strong recent form, the market odds suggest only modest confidence in the home side, as they imply a narrower margin of victory. The model also sees a strong likelihood of both teams scoring (65%) and both matches exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals (67% and 68%, respectively), aligning with Nacka Iliria's history of dominant, high-scoring meetings. These outcomes are flagged as sure tips, reflecting the model's notable confidence compared to the more reserved market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacka Iliria | Farsta | 3 - 2 | April 11, 2026 |
| Nacka Iliria | Farsta | 1 - 1 | August 18, 2023 |
| Farsta | Nacka Iliria | 2 - 3 | April 21, 2023 |
Farsta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Örebro Syrianska | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Nyköping | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Haninge | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Rågsved | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Eker Örebro | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Karlslund | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Nacka Iliria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Forward | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Örebro Syrianska | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Eker Örebro | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sylvia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Nyköping | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farsta | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 20 | +18 | 33 |
| 12 | Nacka Iliria | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.17% likelihood that both Farsta and Nacka Iliria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Farsta to win
This prediction indicates that Farsta has a 54.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.63 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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