1. Deild
Match Analysis
Vestri
Leiknir R.
Vestri
L
W
L
L
D
L
Leiknir R.
W
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Vestri with a 44% probability. Despite Vestri's poor recent form and defensive struggles, the model sees them as slightly favored due to their historical dominance over Leiknir R., even though goals have been rare in past meetings between the two. The model also believes there's a good chance both teams will score, with a 58% probability, which aligns with the market's view that this outcome is likely. Additionally, the model expects more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, each with a 63% probability, suggesting it is more confident than the market in a higher-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leiknir R. | Vestri | 1 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| Leiknir R. | Vestri | 1 - 2 | August 20, 2023 |
| Vestri | Leiknir R. | 1 - 0 | June 28, 2023 |
| Vestri | Leiknir R. | 1 - 0 | August 19, 2020 |
| Leiknir R. | Vestri | 0 - 0 | June 28, 2020 |
Vestri Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Völsungur | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | IR Reykjavik | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Njardvik | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Grotta | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Leiknir R. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Ægir | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | HK Kopavogur | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Fylkir | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Grindavik | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Throttur Reykjavik | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Afturelding | 3 - 2 | Loss |
1. Deild Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leiknir R. | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 28 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 | Vestri | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.24% likelihood that both Vestri and Leiknir R. will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Vestri to win
This prediction indicates that Vestri has a 43.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.30 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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