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1. Deild

Aug. 29, 2026 8 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Afturelding Vestri
Afturelding W W D D W L
Vestri W L W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Afturelding are in strong recent form, while Vestri have only moderate recent form. The model predicts a home win with a 73% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of goals, expecting both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, again showing stronger confidence in these outcomes than the market odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vestri Afturelding 2 - 0 June 21, 2026
Afturelding Vestri 1 - 1 October 19, 2025
Afturelding Vestri 1 - 1 August 6, 2025
Vestri Afturelding 2 - 0 May 10, 2025
Vestri Afturelding 0 - 0 September 30, 2023
Vestri Afturelding 2 - 2 August 16, 2023

Afturelding Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Grotta 2 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Ægir 0 - 7 Win
Aug 17, 26 Home HK Kopavogur 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Away Fylkir 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Grindavik 4 - 1 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Throttur Reykjavik 4 - 1 Loss

Vestri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Leiknir R. 2 - 0 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Völsungur 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home IR Reykjavik 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Njardvik 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Grotta 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 1 Draw

1. Deild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Afturelding 20 13 3 4 62 31 +31 42
7 Vestri 20 8 3 9 30 39 -9 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.97% likelihood that both Afturelding and Vestri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Afturelding to win
This prediction indicates that Afturelding has a 72.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.07 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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