Premier League
Match Analysis
Bournemouth
Everton
Bournemouth
L
L
D
W
W
W
Everton
W
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Bournemouth is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, giving them an edge over Everton. Despite Everton's strong recent form, Bournemouth's historical dominance in recent meetings and a rest advantage tilt the balance. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed one or two goals, aligning with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Bournemouth | 1 - 2 | February 10, 2026 |
| Bournemouth | Everton | 0 - 1 | December 2, 2025 |
| Everton | Bournemouth | 0 - 3 | July 26, 2025 |
| Everton | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | February 8, 2025 |
| Bournemouth | Everton | 1 - 0 | January 4, 2025 |
| Everton | Bournemouth | 2 - 3 | August 31, 2024 |
Bournemouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Real Betis | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Genoa | 10 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FC Augsburg | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC St. Pauli | 4 - 1 | Win |
Everton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Preston | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lille | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | VfB Stuttgart | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Hamburger SV | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.54% likelihood that both Bournemouth and Everton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bournemouth to win
This prediction indicates that Bournemouth has a 43.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.18 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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