1. Deild
Match Analysis
Throttur Reykjavik
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
L
W
L
D
W
W
Ægir
L
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Throttur Reykjavik have moderate recent form, while Ægir have struggled recently defensively. The model predicts a home win with an 80% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. The odds also imply a strong likelihood of over 1.5 goals and over 2.5 goals, aligning with the model's view that both teams are likely to score and the game will feature plenty of goals, reflecting Throttur's historical dominance in recent meetings.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ægir | Throttur Reykjavik | 1 - 3 | June 21, 2026 |
| Ægir | Throttur Reykjavik | 2 - 2 | July 27, 2023 |
| Throttur Reykjavik | Ægir | 3 - 1 | May 21, 2023 |
Throttur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | HK Kopavogur | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Fylkir | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Grindavik | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Grotta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Afturelding | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Leiknir R. | 1 - 5 | Win |
Ægir Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Afturelding | 0 - 7 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Leiknir R. | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Völsungur | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | IR Reykjavik | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Njardvik | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Grotta | 6 - 1 | Loss |
1. Deild Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 23 | +18 | 37 |
| 12 | Ægir | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 8 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.55% likelihood that both Throttur Reykjavik and Ægir will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Throttur Reykjavik to win
This prediction indicates that Throttur Reykjavik has a 80.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 10.11 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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