La Liga
Match Analysis
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
L
L
L
L
L
W
Espanyol
L
W
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Real Sociedad and Espanyol have been struggling in recent form, indicating that neither team is in peak condition. However, Real Sociedad has a modest quality edge and a history of dominating recent meetings between the two, often with plenty of goals scored. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests a high likelihood of goals, expecting both teams to score and for the match to go over both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Real Sociedad | 1 - 1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Real Sociedad | Espanyol | 2 - 2 | August 24, 2025 |
| Real Sociedad | Espanyol | 2 - 1 | February 9, 2025 |
| Espanyol | Real Sociedad | 0 - 1 | August 24, 2024 |
| Espanyol | Real Sociedad | 2 - 3 | February 13, 2023 |
| Real Sociedad | Espanyol | 2 - 1 | September 18, 2022 |
Real Sociedad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Real Betis | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | 1.FC Köln | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Toulouse | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Aston Villa | 2 - 4 | Win |
Espanyol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Levante | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Coventry | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Burnley | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sabadell | 1 - 1 | Draw |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that both Real Sociedad and Espanyol will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Sociedad to win
This prediction indicates that Real Sociedad has a 45.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.43 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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