La Liga
Match Analysis
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
D
W
Real Sociedad
L
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Real Madrid has dominated meetings between these two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 74% probability, reflecting Real Madrid's clear quality gap and stronger recent form compared to Real Sociedad. The market odds also suggest a strong favor for Real Madrid, aligning closely with the model's high confidence in a home victory. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, with probabilities of 69% for each, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | 4 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Real Sociedad | Real Madrid | 1 - 2 | September 13, 2025 |
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | 2 - 0 | May 24, 2025 |
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | 3 - 4 | April 1, 2025 |
| Real Sociedad | Real Madrid | 0 - 1 | February 26, 2025 |
| Real Sociedad | Real Madrid | 0 - 2 | September 14, 2024 |
Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Espanyol | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Leganes | 4 - 1 | Win |
Real Sociedad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Real Betis | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | 1.FC Köln | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Toulouse | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Aston Villa | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Wolves | 1 - 2 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.12% likelihood that both Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Real Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid has a 74.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.76 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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