La Liga
Match Analysis
Racing Santander
Elche
Racing Santander
L
D
D
W
L
L
Elche
L
D
D
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Elche has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams, but the model predicts a home win with a 47% probability. Despite both sides being closely matched in overall quality and showing poor recent form, the model sees a slight edge for Racing Santander at home. The model also leans toward more goals being scored than usual, predicting both teams to score and both the over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals outcomes with a 54% probability each. The market odds show less confidence in the home win and more confidence in additional goals than the model's predictions.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Elche | 2 - 0 | March 2, 2025 |
| Elche | Racing Santander | 3 - 0 | December 19, 2024 |
| Racing Santander | Elche | 3 - 1 | May 4, 2024 |
| Elche | Racing Santander | 1 - 1 | September 2, 2023 |
| Racing Santander | Elche | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2020 |
| Elche | Racing Santander | 2 - 0 | December 1, 2019 |
Racing Santander Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Getafe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Villarreal | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Alaves | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Sporting Gijon | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Wolves | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Elche Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Cordoba | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Al Ain | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Kaizer Chiefs | 2 - 1 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that both Racing Santander and Elche will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Racing Santander to win
This prediction indicates that Racing Santander has a 47.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.11 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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