Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Match Analysis
Räppe
Österlen
Räppe
L
L
D
L
D
W
Österlen
L
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Österlen has had the upper hand over Räppe, with their past encounters tending to be high-scoring affairs. The model predicts an away win with a 45% probability and believes both teams are likely to score (56% chance), leaning more strongly on this outcome than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects more than one goal in the match (60% chance for 'over' on 1.5 goals) and more than two goals (59% chance for 'over' on 2.5 goals), aligning closely with the market's view on these points. Overall, Österlen's modest quality edge and better recent form support the prediction, despite Räppe's poor recent performance.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Österlen | Räppe | 2 - 1 | April 26, 2026 |
| Österlen | Räppe | 4 - 0 | October 5, 2025 |
| Räppe | Österlen | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2025 |
| Österlen | Räppe | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2024 |
| Räppe | Österlen | 1 - 4 | April 7, 2024 |
| Räppe | Österlen | 3 - 1 | September 2, 2023 |
Räppe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Linero | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Berga | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Karlshamn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Staffanstorp United | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Sölvesborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Oskarshamns AIK | 1 - 0 | Win |
Österlen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Oskarshamns AIK | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Sölvesborg | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Linero | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Karlskrona | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Torns | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Nosaby | 2 - 1 | Win |
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Österlen | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 24 |
| 13 | Räppe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 13 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that both Räppe and Österlen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Österlen to win
This prediction indicates that Österlen has a 45.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.09 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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