Premier League
Match Analysis
Newcastle
Liverpool
Newcastle
D
L
L
W
L
D
Liverpool
D
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Liverpool holds a modest quality advantage over Newcastle, and this is reflected in their recent form—Newcastle has been struggling while Liverpool has been relatively stable. The model predicts an away win with a 48% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance (62%) that both teams will score, aligning with the market's view, and also expects the match to feature more than one or two goals, again in agreement with the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | January 31, 2026 |
| Newcastle | Liverpool | 2 - 3 | August 25, 2025 |
| Liverpool | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | March 16, 2025 |
| Liverpool | Newcastle | 2 - 0 | February 26, 2025 |
| Newcastle | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | December 4, 2024 |
| Liverpool | Newcastle | 4 - 2 | January 1, 2024 |
Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Strasbourg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Valencia | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Bristol City | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Gateshead | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Liverpool Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | como | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Leeds | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 4 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Brentford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.86% likelihood that both Newcastle and Liverpool will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Liverpool to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool has a 48.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.42 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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