Premier League
Match Analysis
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Manchester City
L
W
W
D
L
D
Bournemouth
L
D
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Manchester City is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, with a clear quality gap favoring them over Bournemouth. Despite Bournemouth's strong recent form, the model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, which aligns closely with the market's view. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring (60%) and the game featuring more than 2.5 goals (71%), reflecting the recent trend of high-scoring games between these teams and Manchester City's strong attacking display. The odds imply similar confidence levels for these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Manchester City | 1 - 1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 3 - 1 | November 2, 2025 |
| Manchester City | Bournemouth | 3 - 1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Bournemouth | Manchester City | 1 - 2 | March 30, 2025 |
| Bournemouth | Manchester City | 2 - 1 | November 2, 2024 |
| Bournemouth | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | February 24, 2024 |
Manchester City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Arsenal | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | K-League Stars | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Inter | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Aston Villa | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 19, 26 | Away | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Bournemouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Real Betis | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Genoa | 10 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FC Augsburg | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC St. Pauli | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.6% likelihood that both Manchester City and Bournemouth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Manchester City to win
This prediction indicates that Manchester City has a 65.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.16 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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