La Liga
Match Analysis
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
L
D
L
W
D
D
Deportivo La Coruna
D
L
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna have had mixed form recently, with Malaga showing weaker results and Deportivo La Coruna showing moderate results. Despite Deportivo La Coruna's recent attacking strength and rest advantage, Malaga has historically dominated this matchup, and goals have typically been scarce in these encounters. The model predicts a home win with a 35% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees the game as likely to have few goals, leaning towards 'under' for both 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | Malaga | 1 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Malaga | Deportivo La Coruna | 3 - 0 | October 12, 2025 |
| Malaga | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | January 11, 2025 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Malaga | 0 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Malaga | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 0 | July 8, 2020 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Malaga | 0 - 2 | October 20, 2019 |
Malaga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Fulham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | AD Ceuta FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Al-Arabi SC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Leicester | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Deportivo La Coruna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Elche | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Genoa | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Lugo | 1 - 0 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Malaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Malaga to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Malaga has a 35.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.81 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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