Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Match Analysis
Karlskrona
Växjö Norra
Karlskrona
W
W
W
L
W
W
Växjö Norra
W
L
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Karlskrona are in strong recent form and have a clear quality gap in their favor over Växjö Norra, who are coming in with poor recent form. The model predicts a home win with a 54% probability, which is higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for there to be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, aligning with the recent history of domination and plenty of goals in their meetings.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Växjö Norra | Karlskrona | 4 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Karlskrona | Växjö Norra | 3 - 1 | October 6, 2025 |
| Växjö Norra | Karlskrona | 0 - 3 | April 26, 2025 |
Karlskrona Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Lilla Torg W | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Torns | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Nosaby | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Hässleholms IF | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Österlen | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Karlshamn | 3 - 1 | Win |
Växjö Norra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Staffanstorp United | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | IFK Trelleborg | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Berga | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Oskarshamns AIK | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | IFK Trelleborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Staffanstorp United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 18 | +24 | 39 |
| 6 | Växjö Norra | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.88% likelihood that both Karlskrona and Växjö Norra will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Karlskrona to win
This prediction indicates that Karlskrona has a 53.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.42 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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