Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Match Analysis
IFK Trelleborg
Lilla Torg W
IFK Trelleborg
W
W
W
L
W
D
Lilla Torg W
L
D
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
IFK Trelleborg is seen as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor and strong recent form, while Lilla Torg W have been struggling lately. Despite Lilla Torg W having a rest advantage, the model predicts a home win with a 64% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward an over 2.5 goals outcome at 63%, showing more optimism than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lilla Torg W | IFK Trelleborg | 1 - 0 | April 17, 2026 |
IFK Trelleborg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Nosaby | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Karlshamn | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Växjö Norra | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Berga | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Berga | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Växjö Norra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Lilla Torg W Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Karlskrona | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Staffanstorp United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Oskarshamns AIK | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 24, 26 | Home | Torns | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Nosaby | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Staffanstorp United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IFK Trelleborg | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 32 |
| 11 | Lilla Torg W | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 19 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
IFK Trelleborg to win
This prediction indicates that IFK Trelleborg has a 64.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.80 %Most Likely Scorelines
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