1. Deild
Match Analysis
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
D
W
L
L
W
W
Throttur Reykjavik
W
L
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
HK Kopavogur and Throttur Reykjavik both arrive with similar rest and are closely matched in overall quality, but Throttur Reykjavik are in stronger recent form compared to HK Kopavogur's moderate form. The model predicts a 47% chance that Throttur Reykjavik will win, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood of both teams scoring and of there being more than one or two goals in the match, aligning with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Throttur Reykjavik | HK Kopavogur | 2 - 0 | June 12, 2026 |
| Throttur Reykjavik | HK Kopavogur | 2 - 3 | September 21, 2025 |
| HK Kopavogur | Throttur Reykjavik | 4 - 3 | September 17, 2025 |
| HK Kopavogur | Throttur Reykjavik | 5 - 2 | September 6, 2025 |
| Throttur Reykjavik | HK Kopavogur | 2 - 2 | June 27, 2025 |
| HK Kopavogur | Throttur Reykjavik | 0 - 1 | August 9, 2018 |
HK Kopavogur Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Afturelding | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Leiknir R. | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Völsungur | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Njardvik | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Vestri | 6 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | IR Reykjavik | 5 - 1 | Win |
Throttur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Fylkir | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Grindavik | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Grotta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Afturelding | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Leiknir R. | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Völsungur | 1 - 0 | Win |
1. Deild Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 20 | +21 | 37 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 35 | +9 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.79% likelihood that both HK Kopavogur and Throttur Reykjavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Throttur Reykjavik to win
This prediction indicates that Throttur Reykjavik has a 47.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.95 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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