Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Match Analysis
Helges
Falu BS
Helges
L
L
W
L
L
L
Falu BS
W
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Falu BS is seen as clearly stronger than Helges, with a notable quality gap favoring the away side. Helges are in poor recent form and have had defensive problems, while Falu BS have been in moderate form and are scoring well. The model predicts an away win with a 75% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward over 2.5 goals, seeing a 70% chance of that outcome, again more confident than what the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falu BS | Helges | 2 - 2 | May 3, 2026 |
Helges Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Skiljebo | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bollstanäs | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Korsnäs | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Sunnersta | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Täby | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Korsnäs | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Falu BS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Franke | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sunnersta | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Skiljebo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Lidingö | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Gute | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sunnersta | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Division 2 - Norra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Falu BS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 31 |
| 14 | Helges | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Falu BS to win
This prediction indicates that Falu BS has a 74.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.43 %Most Likely Scorelines
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