Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Match Analysis
Gute
Lidingö
Gute
W
L
L
W
L
L
Lidingö
L
L
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Lidingö has been strong against Gute and those past games tended to feature plenty of goals. However, the model sees Gute as the slightly better side overall and notes that Gute are in better recent form, while Lidingö have had defensive problems lately. The model gives a 49% chance of a home win, which is noticeably higher than what the current market odds suggest. It also expects goals, predicting both teams to score and both the over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals outcomes with 60% probabilities, aligning with the market’s leaning toward more goals in this match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lidingö | Gute | 1 - 1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Gute | Lidingö | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2021 |
| Lidingö | Gute | 5 - 2 | June 9, 2021 |
| Gute | Lidingö | 3 - 3 | September 1, 2019 |
| Lidingö | Gute | 1 - 2 | May 18, 2019 |
| Gute | Lidingö | 1 - 2 | September 30, 2018 |
Gute Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Korsnäs | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bollstanäs | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Angby | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Kungsängen | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Täby | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Falu BS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Lidingö Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Enskede | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Viggbyholms IK | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Kungsängen | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Angby | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Falu BS | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Kungsängen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Division 2 - Norra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gute | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Lidingö | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.16% likelihood that both Gute and Lidingö will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Gute to win
This prediction indicates that Gute has a 49.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.48 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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