1. Deild logo

1. Deild

Aug. 28, 2026 9 hours ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Fylkir Grotta
Fylkir W L D L W L
Grotta L L D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Fylkir is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and a rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 68% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with its flagging of these outcomes as sure tips and reflecting a view that the game will be quite open and goal-oriented.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grotta Fylkir 2 - 5 June 21, 2026
Fylkir Grotta 5 - 1 August 27, 2022
Grotta Fylkir 2 - 5 June 23, 2022
Grotta Fylkir 0 - 2 August 30, 2020
Fylkir Grotta 2 - 0 June 29, 2020
Fylkir Grotta 4 - 0 July 20, 2017

Fylkir Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Grindavik 6 - 1 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Throttur Reykjavik 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Afturelding 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Away Leiknir R. 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home Völsungur 3 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away IR Reykjavik 2 - 0 Loss

Grotta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Afturelding 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home IR Reykjavik 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Away Grindavik 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Home Njardvik 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Throttur Reykjavik 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 3, 26 Away Vestri 0 - 3 Win

1. Deild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Fylkir 20 12 1 7 45 33 +12 37
6 Grotta 20 8 3 9 35 38 -3 27

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.76% likelihood that both Fylkir and Grotta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Fylkir to win
This prediction indicates that Fylkir has a 67.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.81 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]