Premier League
Match Analysis
Fulham
Chelsea
Fulham
W
D
W
W
D
L
Chelsea
W
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Fulham have been in strong recent form, while Chelsea's form has been more moderate. However, Chelsea carries a modest quality edge and has dominated recent meetings between the two sides. The model predicts a 44% chance of Chelsea winning, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees strong support for 'over 1.5 goals', aligning closely with the market's strong bias toward a higher-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Chelsea | 2 - 1 | January 7, 2026 |
| Chelsea | Fulham | 2 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Fulham | Chelsea | 1 - 2 | April 20, 2025 |
| Chelsea | Fulham | 1 - 2 | December 26, 2024 |
| Chelsea | Fulham | 1 - 0 | January 13, 2024 |
| Fulham | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | October 2, 2023 |
Fulham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | VfB Stuttgart | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Malaga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Farense | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Norwich | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Chelsea Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Juventus | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Tottenham | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Western Sydney Wanderers | 6 - 4 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.73% likelihood that both Fulham and Chelsea will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Chelsea to win
This prediction indicates that Chelsea has a 43.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.86 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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