La Liga
Match Analysis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
D
D
W
D
W
D
Osasuna
D
L
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Celta Vigo with a 51% probability, slightly more confident than the market odds suggest. The model sees Celta Vigo as the stronger team, with a clear quality gap in their favor and a history of dominating recent meetings. Celta Vigo also benefits from a rest advantage, which adds to their edge despite both teams showing moderate recent form.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | February 6, 2026 |
| Osasuna | Celta Vigo | 2 - 3 | October 26, 2025 |
| Celta Vigo | Osasuna | 1 - 0 | February 21, 2025 |
| Osasuna | Celta Vigo | 3 - 2 | September 1, 2024 |
| Osasuna | Celta Vigo | 0 - 3 | February 4, 2024 |
| Celta Vigo | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | August 13, 2023 |
Celta Vigo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Valencia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Napoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Academico Viseu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | SC Braga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Osasuna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Levante | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Al Ain | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Norwich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Racing Santander | 2 - 0 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Celta Vigo to win
This prediction indicates that Celta Vigo has a 50.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.83 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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