Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Match Analysis
Berga
Staffanstorp United
Berga
W
W
W
W
L
W
Staffanstorp United
L
D
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Berga holds a modest quality edge over Staffanstorp United and comes into the match with strong recent form, while Staffanstorp United has struggled recently. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, showing more confidence in a higher-scoring game than the available over/under 2.5 goals market odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Staffanstorp United | Berga | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
Berga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torns | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Räppe | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | IFK Trelleborg | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Växjö Norra | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | IFK Trelleborg | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Torns | 4 - 1 | Win |
Staffanstorp United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Växjö Norra | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Lilla Torg W | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Torns | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Räppe | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Linero | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Away | Lilla Torg W | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berga | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 30 |
| 11 | Staffanstorp United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 18 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.76% likelihood that both Berga and Staffanstorp United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Berga to win
This prediction indicates that Berga has a 51.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.16 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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