Pro League
Match Analysis
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
D
L
W
W
W
L
Al Riyadh
L
L
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Al Shabab with a 53% probability. Al Shabab is seen as the stronger team with better recent form and a history of dominating Al Riyadh in past meetings, which includes games with plenty of goals. The market odds also suggest Al Shabab is favored, though the model is slightly less confident than what the odds imply. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals to be scored with a 54% probability, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for this outcome, reflecting the recent trend of many goals when these teams face each other.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | Al Shabab | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
| Al Shabab | Al Riyadh | 3 - 1 | February 23, 2026 |
| Al Riyadh | Al Shabab | 1 - 3 | May 15, 2025 |
| Al Shabab | Al Riyadh | 2 - 1 | January 15, 2025 |
| Al Shabab | Al Riyadh | 1 - 0 | April 3, 2024 |
| Al Riyadh | Al Shabab | 2 - 2 | October 5, 2023 |
Al Shabab Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | MC Alger | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Al Ahli Doha | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Al Nasr | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Al Najma | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Al Riyadh Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Al-Ettifaq | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Al Akhdoud | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Al Taawon | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Al-Fateh | 1 - 0 | Win |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that both Al Shabab and Al Riyadh will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Al Shabab to win
This prediction indicates that Al Shabab has a 53.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.55 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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