Pro League
Match Analysis
Al-Ettifaq
Al Diriyah
Al-Ettifaq
L
W
W
L
D
W
Al Diriyah
D
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Al-Ettifaq have moderate recent form and a modest quality edge, while Al Diriyah arrive with strong recent form and have shown strong attacking play. Despite these factors, the model predicts an away win with a 40% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (53%) and that there will be more than 1.5 goals (54%), aligning closely with the market's view on these points.
Al-Ettifaq Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Al-Fateh | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al Riyadh | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Eldense | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | York | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3 - 2 | Win |
Al Diriyah Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Al Kholood | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Al-Hazm | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FA 2000 | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | trelleborgs FF | 1 - 4 | Win |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ettifaq | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Predictions
Al-Ettifaq or Al Diriyah to win
This prediction indicates that Al Diriyah has a 39.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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