Pro League
Match Analysis
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al Riyadh
D
L
L
D
W
D
NEOM
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for NEOM with a 53% probability. The model sees NEOM as clearly the better side due to their significant quality gap and stronger recent form compared to Al Riyadh's poor form. The market odds also favor NEOM, though they suggest slightly less confidence in an away win than the model does. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals (56%) and over 2.5 goals (54%), both of which align with the market's inclination towards a higher-scoring game, despite Al Riyadh's recent defensive issues.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | Al Riyadh | 1 - 0 | February 6, 2026 |
| Al Riyadh | NEOM | 2 - 3 | September 27, 2025 |
Al Riyadh Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Al Shabab | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Al-Ettifaq | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Al Akhdoud | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Al Taawon | 1 - 1 | Draw |
NEOM Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Al-Faisaly FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al-Fayha | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Al-Arabi SC | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Orlando Pirates | 0 - 1 | Win |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NEOM | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.NEOM to win
This prediction indicates that NEOM has a 52.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.27 %Most Likely Scorelines
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