Pro League
Match Analysis
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
W
W
W
L
L
W
Al Taawon
D
L
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Al-Nassr carries a significant quality gap in their favor, which strongly influences the prediction. The model predicts a home win with a 75% probability, indicating notably more confidence in Al-Nassr than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals (74%) and over 2.5 goals (75%), aligning with its stronger confidence compared to the market odds, due to Al-Nassr's strong recent attacking form and the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | 1 - 0 | January 26, 2026 |
| Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | 0 - 5 | August 29, 2025 |
| Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | 1 - 1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | 1 - 1 | January 17, 2025 |
| Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | 1 - 4 | December 30, 2023 |
| Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | 0 - 2 | August 18, 2023 |
Al-Nassr Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Al-Ettifaq | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Al Riyadh | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Al-Fateh | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Almeria | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Estrela | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Mérida AD | 0 - 2 | Win |
Al Taawon Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Al-Fayha | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Al Kholood | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | AS Eupen | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Helmond Sport | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Al-Hazm | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Taawon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.95% likelihood that both Al-Nassr and Al Taawon will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Al-Nassr to win
This prediction indicates that Al-Nassr has a 75.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.31 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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