Pro League
Match Analysis
Al-Fayha
Abha
Al-Fayha
D
L
L
L
D
L
Abha
D
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Al-Fayha, suggesting they should have an advantage over Abha. However, both teams are currently in poor recent form and have had defensive struggles, which adds uncertainty. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is roughly in line with what the market odds imply for Al-Fayha. Additionally, the model thinks it's somewhat likely that fewer than two goals will be scored in total, and that both teams are unlikely to score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | Abha | 3 - 2 | February 25, 2024 |
| Abha | Al-Fayha | 2 - 1 | August 28, 2023 |
| Al-Fayha | Abha | 2 - 0 | March 2, 2023 |
| Abha | Al-Fayha | 1 - 1 | September 16, 2022 |
| Abha | Al-Fayha | 0 - 0 | June 23, 2022 |
| Al-Fayha | Abha | 0 - 0 | December 25, 2021 |
Al-Fayha Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Al Taawon | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | NEOM | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Den Bosch | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | KVC Westerlo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | NEC Nijmegen | 7 - 0 | Loss |
Abha Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Al-Hazm | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Rizespor | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Sharjah FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 24 | Away | Al-Hazm | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Abha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Al-Fayha to win
This prediction indicates that Al-Fayha has a 43.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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