Pro League
Match Analysis
Al Diriyah
Al Kholood
Al Diriyah
W
L
W
W
Al Kholood
W
D
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a modest quality edge for Al Diriyah over Al Kholood, along with better recent form and stronger attacking displays from the home side, while noting defensive struggles for the away team. Despite Al Kholood creating more shooting chances recently, the model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Al Diriyah. The model also suggests there's a 55% chance both teams will score and a 59% chance of more than 1.5 goals, both of which are slightly more confident than what the market odds imply.
Al Diriyah Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Al-Hazm | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FA 2000 | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | trelleborgs FF | 1 - 4 | Win |
Al Kholood Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Al Taawon | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Luton | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Albacete | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Al-Fateh | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that both Al Diriyah and Al Kholood will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Al Diriyah to win
This prediction indicates that Al Diriyah has a 50.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.39 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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