1. Deild
Match Analysis
Afturelding
Grotta
Afturelding
W
D
D
W
L
W
Grotta
L
D
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an Afturelding home win with a 72% probability. This prediction leans on Afturelding's clear quality advantage and their stronger recent form compared to Grotta's poor form, as well as their history of dominating past encounters with many goals scored. The market odds also reflect confidence in a home win, though they imply slightly less certainty than the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a high chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, aligning with the recent trend of many goals in their meetings and the market's strong favor towards 'over' outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grotta | Afturelding | 1 - 3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Grotta | Afturelding | 1 - 4 | July 18, 2024 |
| Afturelding | Grotta | 1 - 1 | May 3, 2024 |
| Afturelding | Grotta | 1 - 1 | August 2, 2023 |
| Grotta | Afturelding | 2 - 3 | May 26, 2023 |
| Grotta | Afturelding | 4 - 2 | August 12, 2022 |
Afturelding Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Ægir | 0 - 7 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | HK Kopavogur | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Fylkir | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Grindavik | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Throttur Reykjavik | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Leiknir R. | 3 - 2 | Win |
Grotta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | IR Reykjavik | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Grindavik | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Njardvik | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Throttur Reykjavik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Vestri | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Ægir | 6 - 1 | Win |
1. Deild Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 31 | +29 | 39 |
| 6 | Grotta | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.33% likelihood that both Afturelding and Grotta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Afturelding to win
This prediction indicates that Afturelding has a 72.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.38 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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