Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Match Analysis
Kongahälla
Galtabacks
Kongahälla
L
W
L
D
L
L
Galtabacks
D
L
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Kongahälla with a 44% probability. Despite both teams showing poor recent form, Kongahälla has a modest quality edge, and Galtabacks have had defensive struggles recently, which influences the prediction toward the home side. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring (61% probability) and that the match will feature more than one goal (66% probability), noting that the market odds for over/under 1.5 goals and both teams to score are considerably more confident than the model's view. Overall, the model leans toward a competitive but open match with a slight favor to the home team.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galtabacks | Kongahälla | 1 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
Kongahälla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Åstorp | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Västra Frölunda | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Dalstorps | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Onsala | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Jonsered | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Hestrafor | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Galtabacks Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Jonsered | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Landvetter IS | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Qviding FIF | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Torslanda | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Böljan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Qviding FIF | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Division 2 - Västra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kongahälla | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 15 |
| 13 | Galtabacks | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 11 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.99% likelihood that both Kongahälla and Galtabacks will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Kongahälla to win
This prediction indicates that Kongahälla has a 44.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.78 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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