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Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Aug. 23, 2026 5 days, 18 hours ago
1 – 1
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Match Analysis

Galtabacks Jonsered
Galtabacks L D L D L L
Jonsered W D W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Jonsered are in strong recent form, while Galtabacks have struggled, particularly defensively, in recent matches. The model also sees a clear quality gap favoring the away side. It predicts an away win with a 49% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 2.5 goals, aligning with its view of an open, potentially high-scoring encounter.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Jonsered Galtabacks 4 - 2 June 5, 2026

Galtabacks Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Landvetter IS 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Qviding FIF 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Torslanda 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 25, 26 Home Böljan 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Away Qviding FIF 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Kongahälla 1 - 2 Loss

Jonsered Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Onsala 2 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Landvetter IS 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away Lindome 2 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Kongahälla 1 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Landvetter IS 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Qviding FIF 2 - 2 Draw

Division 2 - Västra Götaland Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Jonsered 17 9 4 4 30 28 +2 31
13 Galtabacks 17 2 4 11 22 30 -8 10

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.29% likelihood that both Galtabacks and Jonsered will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Jonsered to win
This prediction indicates that Jonsered has a 49.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.72 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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