Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Match Analysis
Åstorp
Kongahälla
Åstorp
W
L
L
D
L
L
Kongahälla
W
L
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win with a 55% probability. Given that the teams are closely matched in overall quality and both are showing poor recent form, the prediction leans toward Åstorp simply based on playing at home. The market odds also suggest a slight favor towards the home side, though they imply a bit less confidence than the model does. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance for both teams to score (61%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (70%) and more than 2.5 goals (68%), aligning with the very favorable market odds for over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kongahälla | Åstorp | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
Åstorp Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Böljan | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Lindome | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Hestrafor | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Torslanda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Lindome | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Landvetter IS | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Kongahälla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Västra Frölunda | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Dalstorps | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Onsala | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Jonsered | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Hestrafor | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Galtabacks | 1 - 2 | Win |
Division 2 - Västra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Åstorp | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
| 12 | Kongahälla | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 15 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.05% likelihood that both Åstorp and Kongahälla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Åstorp to win
This prediction indicates that Åstorp has a 55.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.61 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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