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Aug. 24, 2026 5 days, 17 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Torpedo Zhodino FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino L L L L W W
FC Dnepr Mogilev D L D L L W
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Torpedo Zhodino has had the upper hand in matchups against FC Dnepr Mogilev. The model predicts a home win with a 55% probability, reflecting Torpedo's clear quality gap despite both teams' recent poor form. The odds also favor Torpedo, though they suggest slightly less confidence than the model's prediction. Additionally, the model sees a lower chance of goals, aligning with the idea that both sides are in poor form and Dnepr Mogilev has defensive issues, but also indicating that the match might see fewer goals than the market expects.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Dnepr Mogilev Torpedo Zhodino 2 - 2 April 20, 2026
FC Dnepr Mogilev Torpedo Zhodino 0 - 0 January 31, 2026
FC Dnepr Mogilev Torpedo Zhodino 1 - 1 October 26, 2024
Torpedo Zhodino FC Dnepr Mogilev 4 - 2 June 2, 2024
Torpedo Zhodino FC Dnepr Mogilev 1 - 0 September 18, 2022
FC Dnepr Mogilev Torpedo Zhodino 0 - 1 May 7, 2022

Torpedo Zhodino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Dinamo Minsk 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Dinamo Brest 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Baranovichi 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home FC Isloch Minsk R. 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Bate Borisov 3 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Belshina 0 - 2 Win

FC Dnepr Mogilev Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Belshina 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Away Slavia Mozyr 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Naftan 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Home FC Minsk 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away FC Vitebsk 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home Neman 2 - 0 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Torpedo Zhodino 17 6 5 6 23 18 +5 23
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev 18 2 7 9 16 29 -13 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Torpedo Zhodino to win
This prediction indicates that Torpedo Zhodino has a 55.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.11 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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