Premier League
Match Analysis
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
W
W
W
D
W
W
Brentford
W
W
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Leeds and Brentford both arrive at this match in strong recent form, and the two sides are considered closely matched in overall quality. Their past encounters have often ended in draws, and they come into this game with similar rest levels, with recent shot volume being fairly even between them. The model predicts a home win with a 35% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests a decent chance of both teams scoring and that the game will see more than one or two goals overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | Brentford | 0 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
| Brentford | Leeds | 1 - 1 | December 14, 2025 |
| Leeds | Brentford | 0 - 0 | January 22, 2023 |
| Brentford | Leeds | 5 - 2 | September 3, 2022 |
| Brentford | Leeds | 1 - 2 | May 22, 2022 |
| Leeds | Brentford | 2 - 2 | December 5, 2021 |
Leeds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Augsburg | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | RB Leipzig | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 2 - 4 | Win |
Brentford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Birmingham | 1 - 6 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Tottenham | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Rennes | 2 - 4 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Crystal Palace | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that both Leeds and Brentford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Leeds to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Leeds has a 35.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.95 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments