Premier League
Match Analysis
Bate Borisov
FC Minsk
Bate Borisov
D
W
D
L
D
D
FC Minsk
L
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but FC Minsk has dominated recent meetings and has created significantly more shooting chances lately. The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply for Borisov. Additionally, the model sees a 53% chance that both teams will score, suggesting more optimism about goals than the market odds indicate.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | 1 - 0 | April 24, 2026 |
| FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | 1 - 1 | February 21, 2026 |
| FC Minsk | Bate Borisov | 2 - 0 | November 30, 2025 |
| Bate Borisov | FC Minsk | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2025 |
| Bate Borisov | FC Minsk | 2 - 4 | September 8, 2024 |
| Bate Borisov | FC Minsk | 0 - 1 | August 2, 2024 |
Bate Borisov Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | ML Vitebsk | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Vitebsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Baranovichi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FC Sion | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FC Sion | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | AF Elbasani | 0 - 0 | Draw |
FC Minsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | FC Vitebsk | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Neman | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FC Gomel | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Dinamo Minsk | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Minsk | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
Predictions
Bate Borisov to win
This prediction indicates that Bate Borisov has a 43.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.59 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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