Premier League
Match Analysis
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
L
W
W
W
L
L
Fulham
W
L
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Fulham has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. Despite this, the model predicts a home win for Sunderland with a 39% probability, suggesting a slight edge for the home side. The market odds imply a tighter contest, showing less confidence in Sunderland’s chances compared to the model. Additionally, Sunderland’s recent rest may play a role, even though the teams are closely matched in overall quality and recent shot volume has been even.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Fulham | 1 - 3 | February 22, 2026 |
| Fulham | Sunderland | 1 - 0 | November 22, 2025 |
| Sunderland | Fulham | 2 - 3 | February 8, 2023 |
| Fulham | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | January 28, 2023 |
| Fulham | Sunderland | 2 - 1 | April 27, 2018 |
| Sunderland | Fulham | 1 - 0 | December 16, 2017 |
Sunderland Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rennes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Lens | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Wrexham | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Leeds | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Fulham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Chelsea | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | VfB Stuttgart | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Malaga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Farense | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sunderland to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sunderland has a 38.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.91 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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