Premier League
Match Analysis
FC Vitebsk
Naftan
FC Vitebsk
W
L
W
W
W
W
Naftan
L
L
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, FC Vitebsk has dominated the meetings with Naftan, often keeping the matches tight and low-scoring. The model predicts a home win with a 68% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance that the match will feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals combined, slightly favoring this outcome over the market odds. These predictions reflect Vitebsk's clear quality gap and strong recent form, contrasted with Naftan's poor form and defensive issues, despite their recent creation of more shooting chances.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | FC Vitebsk | 1 - 1 | April 25, 2026 |
| Naftan | FC Vitebsk | 1 - 1 | March 7, 2026 |
| Naftan | FC Vitebsk | 3 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| FC Vitebsk | Naftan | 2 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| Naftan | FC Vitebsk | 0 - 4 | October 19, 2024 |
| FC Vitebsk | Naftan | 2 - 0 | May 24, 2024 |
FC Vitebsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | FC Minsk | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Bate Borisov | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Neman | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Gomel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Arsenal | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1 - 0 | Win |
Naftan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Neman | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | FC Gomel | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Arsenal | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Dinamo Brest | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | ML Vitebsk | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 29 |
| 16 | Naftan | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 10 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
FC Vitebsk to win
This prediction indicates that FC Vitebsk has a 67.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.66 %Most Likely Scorelines
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