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Aug. 28, 2026 1 day, 17 hours ago
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Match Analysis

FC Gomel Belshina
FC Gomel D W W L D W
Belshina W D L D L L
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, FC Gomel has dominated the meetings between these two sides, usually keeping the games tight with few goals. The model predicts a home win with a 74% probability, which aligns with the clear quality gap favoring FC Gomel and their stronger recent form compared to Belshina's poor performances. The market odds also suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory, though they appear slightly less confident than the model's assessment. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of more than one goal (64% over) and slightly more than two goals (59% over), both of which are views that the market odds broadly support.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Belshina FC Gomel 0 - 2 April 26, 2026
FC Gomel Belshina 1 - 0 February 15, 2025
FC Gomel Belshina 4 - 0 February 3, 2024
Belshina FC Gomel 0 - 2 October 29, 2023
FC Gomel Belshina 2 - 0 June 3, 2023
FC Gomel Belshina 2 - 0 January 21, 2023

FC Gomel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Slavia Mozyr 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Naftan 6 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Minsk 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home FC Vitebsk 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Neman 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 2, 26 Away Bate Borisov 0 - 1 Win

Belshina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Arsenal 2 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away FC Dnepr Mogilev 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Dinamo Brest 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Baranovichi 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Away FC Isloch Minsk R. 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Torpedo Zhodino 0 - 2 Loss

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 FC Gomel 19 9 6 4 28 14 +14 33
13 Belshina 17 4 3 10 16 31 -15 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC Gomel to win
This prediction indicates that FC Gomel has a 73.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.74 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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