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Aug. 29, 2026 21 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Dinamo Minsk Baranovichi
Dinamo Minsk L W D L L W
Baranovichi D L D L W D
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Dinamo Minsk and Baranovichi are both coming into this match with poor recent form, and they have similar rest periods. However, Dinamo Minsk is considered to be the stronger team in this matchup. The model predicts a home win with a 67% probability, and this aligns with the perceived quality gap favoring Dinamo Minsk, despite both teams' current struggles. The model also sees a good chance of more than one goal being scored (53% over for 1.5 goals) and more than two goals (53% over for 2.5 goals), suggesting an open game despite the general lack of form.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Baranovichi Dinamo Minsk 2 - 3 April 25, 2026
Dinamo Minsk Baranovichi 3 - 2 February 28, 2026

Dinamo Minsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 24, 26 Away FC Isloch Minsk R. 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Home Torpedo Zhodino 4 - 0 Win
Aug 13, 26 Home SC Braga 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 6, 26 Away SC Braga 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Neftchi Baku 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Neftchi Baku 2 - 4 Win

Baranovichi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Dinamo Brest 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Away ML Vitebsk 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Bate Borisov 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home FC Isloch Minsk R. 3 - 4 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Torpedo Zhodino 1 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Belshina 1 - 1 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Dinamo Minsk 16 11 3 2 30 13 +17 36
12 Baranovichi 19 4 6 9 21 35 -14 18

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Dinamo Minsk to win
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Minsk has a 67.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.76 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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