Premier League
Match Analysis
Dinamo Brest
ML Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest
D
L
W
W
W
W
ML Vitebsk
D
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees ML Vitebsk as the stronger side heading into this match. Given their clear quality advantage and strong recent form, the model predicts an away win with a 44% probability, which aligns with the market's view that favors ML Vitebsk. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score (51% chance), and that the game will likely see fewer than 2.5 goals (46% chance for under), reflecting the trend of tight, low-scoring matches in their recent encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | 0 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| ML Vitebsk | Dinamo Brest | 1 - 1 | August 17, 2025 |
| Dinamo Brest | ML Vitebsk | 0 - 2 | April 4, 2025 |
| Dinamo Brest | ML Vitebsk | 0 - 6 | February 23, 2025 |
| Dinamo Brest | ML Vitebsk | 0 - 1 | February 10, 2024 |
Dinamo Brest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Baranovichi | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Torpedo Zhodino | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Belshina | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Slavia Mozyr | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Naftan | 2 - 4 | Win |
ML Vitebsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Bate Borisov | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Baranovichi | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Sutjeska | 3 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ML Vitebsk | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 31 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
ML Vitebsk to win
This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 44.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.93 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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