La Liga
Match Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
Valencia
Deportivo La Coruna
D
D
L
W
D
D
Valencia
L
D
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Valencia has had the upper hand in games between these two teams, and those past encounters tended to be high-scoring. Despite Valencia having a modest quality advantage on paper, Deportivo La Coruna's moderate recent form and strong attacking displays, combined with Valencia's poor current form, shift the balance. The model predicts a home win with a 38% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a less than even chance that both teams will score, and leans toward fewer than two goals overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2018 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Valencia | 1 - 2 | January 13, 2018 |
| Valencia | Deportivo La Coruna | 3 - 0 | April 2, 2017 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Valencia | 1 - 1 | October 31, 2016 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Valencia | 1 - 1 | January 24, 2016 |
| Valencia | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | August 30, 2015 |
Deportivo La Coruna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Malaga | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Elche | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Genoa | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Valencia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Derby | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Castellón | 1 - 2 | Loss |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo La Coruna to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo La Coruna has a 37.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.39 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments